Saffron Restaurants reservation Trump maintains lead over Biden heading into November

Trump maintains lead over Biden heading into November

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With less than six months until the 2024 presidential election, former President Donald Trump has a significant lead over incumbent President Joe Biden in several swing states.

While overall national polls vary and show a closer race, Trump has significant leads in several swing states.

According to Real clear politicsTrump leads in a slew of key battleground states such as Arizona (+5.2), Georgia (+4.6), Michigan (+0.8), Nevada (+6.2), North Carolina (+5.4), Pennsylvania (+2.0) and Wisconsin (+0.6).

Other polls have shown Trump with a dominant lead in the Sun Belt, while underperforming Biden in some Rust Belt Swing states.

“As the old saying goes, good gets better and bad gets worse, and it’s clear that President Biden is in bad shape right now,” said Colin Reed, a Republican strategist and former campaign manager for U.S. Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass. . and co-founder of South and Hill Strategies, told The Center Square. “Five and a half months is an eternity in politics, and there is theoretically still time to right the ship, but it’s getting late early for the president, especially if Father Time remains undefeated and doubts about his age continue to grow. “

According to Real Clear Politics’ national polling average, Trump leads Biden 46.1% to 44.9%.

A New York Times poll released this week showed leads for Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania but lagged slightly behind Biden in Wisconsin, raising concerns among supporters.

Trump’s lead has been fueled in large part by minority voters choosing his side.

Meanwhile, Biden’s popularity has plummeted since taking office. While that’s not unusual for incumbents, Biden’s approval rating is lower than that of recent presidents.

Gallup recently issued Polling data shows he averaged a 38.7% approval rating in the 13th quarter of Biden’s presidency, worse than Trump at the same point in his term.

“None of the other nine presidents elected to their first term since Dwight Eisenhower had a lower 13th quarter average than Biden,” Gallup said.

Axios reported this week that Biden and his team believe the polls do not reflect the real feelings of Americans and that the president’s position is strong.

“They’re still 50% (well 45%) to win, per betting market,” wrote pollster Nate Silver on X. “But Biden has been trailing Trump in the polls for a year now. His approval is in the tank, and voters have been clear that they think he’s too old. If Trump wins, history will not remember Biden kindly.”

Meanwhile, Trump is spending valuable campaign time on a series of court hearings for his numerous dates before the federal prosecutor’s office.

“I have imposed a gag order,” Trump told reporters after a court appearance on Tuesday. “No one has ever seen anything like this… I beat him in every poll and I have a gag order, so I think it’s totally unconstitutional.”

Republicans have accused Biden of prosecuting Trump and accused Biden of using the Justice Department against his political opponent.

“Despite the illegal election interference of the far-left Democrats, President Trump is beating Joe Biden at the polls!” Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., wrote on X Tuesday. “Voters see through the sham Biden processes and know that President Trump is the best choice for president.”

Casey Harper
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